How far south will US go?

I analyzed the 14 day offset CFR for the US:

Factors behind changes:

Testing: Early on there was very limited testing, COVID was rapidly emerging

hospital space: a function of population density

supplies (PPE): was lacking in the initial stages

Meds: In addition to treatments are things Propofol which the best practices are written for. Swap another drug and you’re experimenting.

Staffing: a limited commodity like hospital space, but as staff fall ill it is aggravated

Expertise:  How to treat patients is evolving and being refined

Population characteristics: age, comorbidities, ethnicity

Season?  Vitamin D, stress

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